This study used machine learning models to examine which factors most influenced U.S. household energy consumption in 2020 using data from 18,496 households.
Read More...The influence of economic factors on United States household energy consumption in 2020
This study used machine learning models to examine which factors most influenced U.S. household energy consumption in 2020 using data from 18,496 households.
Read More...Forecasting air quality index: A statistical machine learning and deep learning approach
Here the authors investigated air quality forecasting in India, comparing traditional time series models like SARIMA with deep learning models like LSTM. The research found that SARIMA models, which capture seasonal variations, outperform LSTM models in predicting Air Quality Index (AQI) levels across multiple Indian cities, supporting the hypothesis that simpler models can be more effective for this specific task.
Read More...An analysis of the feasibility of SARIMAX-GARCH through load forecasting
The authors found that SARIMAX-GARCH is more accurate than SARIMAX for load forecasting with respect to energy consumption.
Read More...Population Forecasting by Population Growth Models based on MATLAB Simulation
In this work, the authors investigate the accuracy with which two different population growth models can predict population growth over time. They apply the Malthusian law or Logistic law to US population from 1951 until 2019. To assess how closely the growth model fits actual population data, a least-squared curve fit was applied and revealed that the Logistic law of population growth resulted in smaller sum of squared residuals. These findings are important for ensuring optimal population growth models are implemented to data as population forecasting affects a country's economic and social structure.
Read More...Deep sequential models versus statistical models for web traffic forecasting
The authors looked at ways to provide better forecasting on website traffic. They found that deep learning models performed better than statistical models.
Read More...Differential privacy in machine learning for traffic forecasting
In this paper, we measured the privacy budgets and utilities of different differentially private mechanisms combined with different machine learning models that forecast traffic congestion at future timestamps. We expected the ANNs combined with the Staircase mechanism to perform the best with every value in the privacy budget range, especially with the medium high values of the privacy budget. In this study, we used the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and neural network models to forecast and then added differentially private Laplacian, Gaussian, and Staircase noise to our datasets. We tested two real traffic congestion datasets, experimented with the different models, and examined their utility for different privacy budgets. We found that a favorable combination for this application was neural networks with the Staircase mechanism. Our findings identify the optimal models when dealing with tricky time series forecasting and can be used in non-traffic applications like disease tracking and population growth.
Read More...A novel encoding technique to improve non-weather-based models for solar photovoltaic forecasting
Several studies have applied different machine learning (ML) techniques to the area of forecasting solar photovoltaic power production. Most of these studies use weather data as inputs to predict power production; however, there are numerous practical issues with the procurement of this data. This study proposes models that do not use weather data as inputs, but rather use past power production data as a more practical substitute to weather-based models. Our proposed models demonstrate a better, cheaper, and more reliable alternatives to current weather models.
Read More...COVID-19 and air pollution in New York City
Did the COVID-19 pandemic and travel restrictions improve air quality? The authors investigate this question in New York City using existing pollution data and forecasting trends.
Read More...Genetic algorithm based features selection for predicting the unemployment rate of India
The authors looked at using genetic algorithms to look at the Indian labor market and what features might best explain any variation seen. They found that features such as economic growth and household consumption, among others, best explained variation.
Read More...Creating a drought prediction model using convolutional neural networks
Droughts kill over 45,000 people yearly and affect the livelihoods of 55 million others worldwide, with climate change likely to worsen these effects. However, unlike other natural disasters (hurricanes, etc.), there is no early detection system that can predict droughts far enough in advance to be useful. Bora, Caulkins, and Joycutty tackle this issue by creating a drought prediction model.
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