Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models are known for their influence and application on time series data. This statistical analysis model uses time series data to depict future trends or values: a key contributor to crime mapping algorithms. However, the models may not function to their true potential when analyzing data with many different patterns. In order to determine the potential of ARIMA models, our research will test the model on irregularities in the data. Our team hypothesizes that the ARIMA model will be able to adapt to the different irregularities in the data that do not correspond to a certain trend or pattern. Using crime theft data and an ARIMA model, we determined the results of the ARIMA model’s forecast and how the accuracy differed on different days with irregularities in crime.
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Understanding the Relationship Between Perception and Reality Related to Public Safety: A Case Study of Public Opinion on Local Law Enforcement in Andover, MA
A small town with low crime rates and relatively high education levels usually gives the perception of a safe and comfortable community. This study explored the connection between this perception, as defined by public opinion, and reality, as defined by US Census and FBI crime data.
Read More...The Relationship Between Close-Range Shooting Distance and Nitrite Patterns on Cotton and Polyester Clothing
At a crime scene, the presence and pattern of gunshot residue can help forensic scientists piece together the events that occurred. To assist this, the authors of this paper determined the relationship between shooting distance and nitrite residue patterns left on fabric targets.
Read More...Sex differences in confidence and memory
In this work, the authors sought to provide an original experiment to investigate the conflict over whether males or females tend to exhibit greater accuracy or confidence in their memories. By using an online portal to obtain a convenience sample, the authors found that their results suggest that though males tend to be more confident regarding their memories, they may in fact remember fewer details. The authors suggest that these findings merit further research before making systematic changes regarding crime scene recall settings.
Read More...POC-MON: A Novel and Cost-Effective Pocket Lemon Sniff Test (PLST) for Early Detection of Major Depressive Disorder
Effective treatment of depression requires early detection. Depressive symptoms overlap with olfactory regions, which led to several studies of the correlation between sense of smell and depression. The alarming rise of depression, its related crimes, suicides, and lack of inexpensive, quick tools in detecting early depression — this study aims in demonstrating decreased olfaction and depression correlation. Forty-two subjects (ages 13-83) underwent POC-MON (Pocket Lemon) assessment — an oven-dried lemon peel sniff test, subjected to distance measurement when odor first detected (threshold) and completed Patient Health Questionnaires (PHQ-9). POC-MON and PHQ-9 scores yielded a correlation of 20% and 18% for the right and left nostrils, respectively. Among male (n=17) subjects, the average distance of POC-MON and PHQ-9 scores produced a correlation of 14% and 16% for the right and left nostrils, respectively. Females (n=25) demonstrated a correlation of 28% and 21% for the right and left nostrils, respectively. These results suggest the correlation between olfaction and depression in diagnosing its early-stage, using a quick, inexpensive, and patient-friendly tool — POC-MON.
Read More...Understanding the battleground of identity fraud
The authors looked at variables associated with identity fraud in the US. They found that national unemployment rate and online banking usage are among significant variables that explain identity fraud.
Read More...Uncovering the hidden trafficking trade with geographic data and natural language processing
The authors use machine learning to develop an evidence-based detection tool for identifying human trafficking.
Read More...Implementing machine learning algorithms on criminal databases to develop a criminal activity index
The authors look at using publicly available data and machine learning to see if they can develop a criminal activity index for counties within the state of California.
Read More...Evolution of Neuroplastin-65
Human intelligence is correlated with variation in the protein neuroplastin-65, which is encoded by the NPTN gene. The authors examine the evolution of this gene across different animal species.
Read More...Environmental, social, and governance ratings and firm performance: Evidence from the Chinese stock market
Large corporations often are known for their financial power, but what social and environmental power and conscious do they have? The more responsible corporations are in relation to environmental, social, and governance criteria the better they do fiscally.
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