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Predicting baseball pitcher efficacy using physical pitch characteristics

Oberoi et al. | Jan 11, 2024

Predicting baseball pitcher efficacy using physical pitch characteristics
Image credit: Antoine Schibler

Here, the authors sought to develop a new metric to evaluate the efficacy of baseball pitchers using machine learning models. They found that the frequency of balls, was the most predictive feature for their walks/hits allowed per inning (WHIP) metric. While their machine learning models did not identify a defining trait, such as high velocity, spin rate, or types of pitches, they found that consistently pitching within the strike zone resulted in significantly lower WHIPs.

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Testing the Impact of a Geometric Curvature Variable on the Accuracy of Econometric Forecasting Models

Punatar et al. | Jul 26, 2026

Testing the Impact of a Geometric Curvature Variable on the Accuracy of Econometric Forecasting Models

Classical financial forecasting models often fail to capture the complex, nonlinear dynamics of the stock market. This study demonstrates that incorporating a single variable to represent the 'geometric curvature' of a time series dramatically improves the accuracy of standard econometric forecasts. Our findings highlight that geometric properties are a significant predictive factor, opening new avenues for more powerful financial modeling.

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